Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.682859 4.323853 5.063529 5.984914 7.108405 8.442075 10.157341
2025-01-19 2.665314 3.442286 4.446171 5.857496 7.821416 10.504277 14.528735
2025-01-26 2.295327 3.162977 4.374965 6.231982 9.079154 13.406244 20.736304
2025-02-02 2.018158 2.925377 4.273133 6.486778 10.164060 16.282664 27.815008
2025-02-09 1.821266 2.755875 4.219591 6.774145 11.332185 19.569981 36.735131
2025-02-16 1.635665 2.566131 4.090105 6.892728 12.217253 22.580826 46.266935
2025-02-23 1.493980 2.421504 4.003748 7.057314 13.209837 26.063712 58.227522
2025-03-02 1.341731 2.234804 3.811342 6.981572 13.702292 28.646439 69.224917
2025-03-09 1.238827 2.118907 3.725522 7.090625 14.598452 32.391224 85.017610
2025-03-16 1.128669 1.974672 3.564151 7.013051 15.060824 35.248733 99.805439
2025-03-23 1.037811 1.854668 3.431588 6.970269 15.592181 38.456704 117.503304
2025-03-30 0.956431 1.742851 3.299456 6.903575 16.049289 41.624625 137.029701
2025-04-06 0.890547 1.666003 3.253873 7.091512 17.395425 48.452346 177.806527
2025-04-13 0.800388 1.531362 3.072470 6.938702 17.849573 53.028752 215.296141
2025-04-20 0.767455 1.509519 3.131568 7.395615 20.216226 65.332776 303.973866
2025-04-27 0.727416 1.466219 3.133980 7.707072 22.279296 77.945255 414.350922
2025-05-04 0.693478 1.431155 3.149143 8.058850 24.635231 93.472128 572.346874
2025-05-11 0.651648 1.372284 3.096334 8.204165 26.354298 107.630071 752.744453
2025-05-18 0.616805 1.324881 3.064357 8.405997 28.391490 125.107532 1008.838182
2025-05-25 0.572365 1.248954 2.946666 8.313094 29.255499 137.367082 1252.757101
2025-06-01 0.541842 1.203065 2.901594 8.446867 31.142469 157.348744 1662.247664
2025-06-08 0.505473 1.138315 2.795442 8.351701 32.014333 172.184471 2071.031899
2025-06-15 0.474170 1.082795 2.707004 8.299234 33.086010 189.718682 2618.316937